Well, it has been coming: The ANC flew out of the blocks in Gauteng when early results were counted on Thursday, but their support in the province has slowly etched away as more ballots have been tallied in the past 24 hours.
They’ve now fallen below the 50% mark for the first time, indicating that their provincial majority is in trouble.
Latest election results from Gauteng
In 2014, the ANC garnered 53.59% of the provincial vote in Gauteng. Shortly after 10:00 on Friday morning – and with 59% of votes accounted for – preliminary results indicated the following voter share:
ANC – 49.55%
DA – 28.46%
EFF – 13.94%
VF Plus – 3.88%
IFP – 0.83%
ANC majorities “wobbling”
Despite wrapping up five provinces already, the ANC have not had things go their own way on Friday. The DA managed to keep hold of the Western Cape in relatively comfortable fashion, despite predictions their overall majority was under threat.
There’s also a wobble in KZN, where the governing party are forecast to get 11% fewer votes than they received in 2014.
They currently lead with 53% in the Zulu heartlands, but that total has also been on the decline since Thursday. However, it is the battleground of Gauteng that is now turning heads all across the political spectrum:
Gauteng: Can the DA close the gap on the ANC?
Trouble is indeed brewing for the ANC in this province. The DA vowed to go hell-for-leather in a bid to seize control of the region. Things had been pretty underwhelming for the opposition since the first few votes were declared, but they’ve been steadily improving on Friday.
It’s understood that both Tshwane and Midvaal – areas with strong support for the DA – are yet to have their votes tallied up, too. The ANC may lose their majority, but the DA needs to get as near to the 40% mark as they can if they want to form a functioning coalition government ahead of their political nemeses.