Out-Of-Touch Ramaphosa Stacks Minimum Wage Deck – Another Job Killer Coming

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Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa

Just how far the thought processes of South Africa’s Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa have regressed is illustrated in the handling of the most important decisions he has been entrusted with as Jacob Zuma’s #2. During the Mandela era, Ramaphosa was a powerful force for conciliation, making headlines through, for example, convincing potential emigres to stay in SA to help build the country. Contrast that with the seven-person committee appointed by Ramaphosa to decide where to set SA’s new national minimum wage. It’s like having staff set their salaries without the managers of the business having any say. There is not a single employer among Ramaphosa’s seven appointees, even though it is they who will carry the burden. And only one member of the committee has been exposed to the realities of capital allocation – low-profile investment research analyst Mamokete Lijane. The six others are a former colleague from Ramaphosa’s Shanduka, two academics, the economic justice manager of Oxfam and someone from the International Labour Organisation. Talk about an expedient stacking of the deck for the best political outcome – and worst for employment. The fact is, the higher the minimum wage, the more capital will flow from jobs to machines. Why is that so hard to understand in a country where the scourge of unemployment continues to mushroom? A developing country is defined as a place where politics trumps economics. South Africa, sadly, passes that test with distinction.  – Alec Hogg

Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa has appointed a seven-person panel to advise on an appropriate level at which the national minimum wage could be set.

Ramaphosa did this in his capacity as chair of the Committee of Principals of the National Economic Development Council (Nedlac). The committee comprises representatives of government, labour, business and the community. It is charged with, among others, determining the national minimum wage.

The appointment of the advisers takes place against the background of consensus among Nedlac social partners to introduce a national minimum wage as part of efforts to restore the dignity of the majority of South Africans, address the triple challenges of poverty, under-development and inequality and reduce pay differentials while maximising job creation, according to a statement issued by the Presidency on Sunday.

The Presidency pointed out that in his State of the Nation Address in June 2014, President Jacob Zuma had called on the Nedlac social partners – under the leadership of Ramaphosa – to address low wages; wage inequalities and a national minimum wage; and violent and protracted strikes.

“Ramaphosa has now, in consultation with Nedlac social partners, appointed a Panel of Advisers to assist Nedlac in setting the level of the national minimum wage, taking into account work done so far by Nedlac technical task-teams,” according to the statement.

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Mantashe says Govt has been mandated to speedily resolve the National Minimum Wage at NEDLAC

Panel members

Prof. Imraan Valodia has been appointed as chair of the panel. He is a part-time member of the Competition Tribunal and a commissioner on the Employment Conditions Commission.

The other members of the panel are macro strategist Mamokete Lijane (Aluwani Capital Partners); commercial law expert Debbie Collier of the University of Cape Town (UCT); poverty and inequality expert Prof. Murray Leibbrandt of UCT; Ayabonga Cawe (economic justice Manager at Oxfam South Africa; skills development and training expert Dr Siphokazi Koyana; and economist Dr Patrick Belser of the International Labour Organisation.

Read also: Sara Gon: Cyril Ramaphosa – friend or foe?

In March this year this year Ramaphosa said a national minimum wage could go a long way to providing a much-needed injection into SA’s economy. In his view, SA is progressing well with its implementation, compared to other countries like Germany and Brazil.

“Today our level of inequality is the worst in the world. But this could be turned around and a minimum wage could lead to the injection of growth in our economy. If people have more money in their pockets they become better consumers. This could fuel the manufacturing and demand for goods and services. We should not only look at a minimum wage from a negative perspective,” Ramaphosa said at the time.

Free Market Foundation

This is, however, not the view of the Free Market Foundation (FMF). In June this year FMF director Temba Nolutshungu said, in his view, the proposed minimum wage will rather hamper than stimulate job creation in SA.

“Instead of considering national minimum wages intended to raise the wages of people who already have jobs, the government should be giving its full attention to creating conditions that will lead to an increase in the demand for labour,” added FMF director Eustace Davie.

Read also: Brian Kantor: Minimum Wages – yet another ‘own goal’

In an article published on the FMF website, Davie said onerous termination requirements, minimum conditions of employment, compulsory minimum wages and other regulatory conditions imposed on employers, all serve to consign some people to the ranks of the permanently unemployed.

This is because the sum total of their wages and the costs to the employer of complying with the labour regulations exceed the economic value of their expected production, he explained.

According to Nolutshungu evidence shows the most vulnerable sector of the labour market will again be the young, unskilled and inexperienced youth because some businesses will not be able to pay their entire workforce the arbitrarily determined minimum wage.

On the other hand, Ilan Strauss, a macroeconomist and development economist, who consults for the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), recently wrote to Fin24 to point out that recent research by Wits University’s National Minimum Wage Research Initiative (NMWRI) argues that workers receiving relatively more income from the implementation of a national minimum wage could boost domestic output and spending.

Time for radical TRANSFORMATION: Mr. Cyril Ramaphosa, bin the idea of a national minimum wage, it will produce a disaster – job losses!!!!!

“South Africa’s labour share is around 5 percentage points lower than its peers and has declined in the post-apartheid era. There is a growing consensus among global policy makers that the world economy is suffering from too little demand. This is partly due to rampant inequality: most households do not have enough money to buy the goods and services that allow the economy to tick over,” said Strauss.

“When complementary domestic policies, such as increased public infrastructural spending, are used in conjunction with increasing the labour share, the effects are larger in the GPM. And when other countries implement similar policies alongside South Africa to increase their labour shares, South Africa, as a small, open economy, benefits further.”

In his view, the primary benefits of a national minimum wage for South Africa are through its notable impacts on reducing poverty and inequality.

“A national minimum wage is a potentially important plank in any suite of measures that aims to expand the South African economy in a balanced and sustainable manner. Positive measures are needed on both the supply and demand sides to boost the domestic economy,” said Strauss.

By Carin Smith

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